China Dairy Market Review & Outlook 2007-2008 Proposal
TABLE OF CONTENT
1 Status of Dairy Industry in China, 2007 1.1 Raw Milk Production 1.2 Dairy Product Process 1.3 Dairy Product Trade 1.4 Dairy Product Consumption 1.5 Dairy Product Price 1.6 Dairy Industry Situation 1.7 Dairy Industry Conformity 1.8 Dairy Industry Policies
2 Policy Environment of Dairy Industry in China, 2007 2.1 Overall Situation of Relevant Policies 2.2 Nanjing Dairy Enterprises Self-Discipline Announcement 2.3 Proposals on Promoting a Durative and Healthy Development in China Dairy Industry 2.4 Liquid Milk Mark and Label Supervisory Notification 2.5 Lagged Effect and Amendment of Relevant Policies
3 Analysis of Production of Dairy Products and Raw Milk in China, 2007 3.1 Raw Milk Production 3.1.1 Overall Situation 3.1.2 Cow Inventory 3.1.3 Milk Yield 3.1.4 Regional Layout of Raw Milk 3.1.5 Procurement Price of Raw Milk 3.2 Production of Dairy Products 3.2.1 Production of Liquid Dairy 3.2.1.1 General Trend of Liquid Dairy Production 3.2.1.2 Regional Layout of Liquid Dairy Production 3.2.1.3 Composition of Liquid Dairy 3.2.2 Production of Solid Dairy Products 3.2.2.1 General Trend of Solid Dairy Products Production 3.2.2.2 Regional Layout of Solid Dairy Products Production 3.2.2.3 Production of Milk Powder
4 Imports and Exports of Dairy Products in China, 2007 4.1 Overview of Imports of Dairy Products 4.1.1 Overall Situation of Import 4.1.2 Analysis of Import Structure 4.1.3 Analysis of Import Amount 4.1.4 Analysis of Import Price 4.2 Imports of Milk Powder 4.2.1 Import Amount 4.2.2 Import Source 4.2.3 Import Flow 4.2.4 Import Price 4.3 Imports of Whey Products 4.3.1 Import Amount 4.3.2 Import Source 4.3.3 Import Flow 4.3.4 Import Price 4.4 Imports of Milk Fat Products 4.4.1 Import Amount 4.4.2 Import Source 4.4.3 Import Price 4.5 Imports of Cheese 4.5.1 Import Amount 4.5.2 Import Source 4.5.3 Import Price 4.6 Imports of Fresh Milk Products 4.6.1 Import Amount 4.6.2 Import Source 4.6.3 Import Price 4.7 Imports of Yogurt 4.7.1 Import Amount 4.7.2 Import Source 4.7.3 Import Price 4.8 Exports of Dairy Products 4.8.1 Overall Situation of Export 4.8.2 Analysis of Export Structure 4.8.3 Analysis of Fresh Milk 4.8.4 Analysis of Milk Powder
5 Dairy Consumption in China, 2007 5.1 Overall Situation of Dairy Product Consumption 5.2 Structure of Dairy Consumption by Urban Residents 5.3 Consumption Regions of Dairy Products 5.4 Retail Price of Dairy Products 5.4.1 Fresh Milk Price 5.4.2 Yogurt Price 5.4.3 Milk Powder Price
6 Market Competitions in China Dairy Industry, 2007 6.1 Competition Features of Dairy Market 6.2 Competition Status of Milk Powder Market 6.2.1 Environment of Milk Powder Market 6.2.2 Market Share of Major Competitive Companies 6.2.3 Composition of Milk Powder and Price of Terminal Market 6.3 Competition Status of Liquid Milk Market 6.3.1 Competition Status of Pasteurized Milk Market 6.3.2 Competition Status of UHT Milk Market 6.3.3 Competition Status of Milk Beverage Market
7Analysis of Main Dairy Producers in China, 2007 7.1 Yili Group 7.1.1 Analysis of Business Revenue 7.1.2 Status in Market Competition 7.1.3 Investments 7.1.4 Prospect of Yili 7.2 Mengniu Group 7.2.1 Analysis of Business Revenue 7.2.2 Status in Market Competition 7.2.3 Prospect of Mengniu 7.3 Bright Dairy 7.3.1 Analysis of Business Revenue 7.3.2 Status in Market Competition 7.3.3 Investments 7.3.4 Prospect of Business Revenue of Bright Dairy 7.4 Sanlu Group 7.4.1 Analysis of Business Revenue 7.4.2 Investments 7.4.3 Prospect of Sanlu 7.5 Sanyuan Food 7.5.1 Analysis of Business Revenue 7.5.2 Status in Market Competition 7.5.3 Investments 7.5.4 Prospect of Sanyuan 7.6 Wondersun Dairy 7.6.1 Analysis of Business Revenue 7.6.2 Status in Market Competition 7.6.3 Investments 7.6.4 Prospect of Wondersun 7.7 Nanjing Dairy Group 7.7.1 Analysis of Business Revenue 7.7.2 Status in Market Competition 7.7.3 Investments 7.7.4 Prospect of Nanjing Dairy Group 7.8 Yinqiao Dairy 7.8.1 Analysis of Business Revenue 7.8.2 Status in Market Competition 7.8.3 Investments 7.8.4 Prospect of Yinqiao Dairy 7.9 New Hope Dairy 7.9.1 Analysis of Business Revenue 7.9.2 Investments 7.9.3 Prospect of New Hope Dairy 7.10 VV Dairy 7.10.1 Analysis of Business Revenue 7.10.2 Status in Market Competition 7.10.3 Investments 7.10.4 Prospect of VV Dairy 7.11 Nestle 7.11.1 Analysis of Business Revenue 7.11.2 Status in Market Competition 7.11.3 Prospect of Nestle 7.12 Dumex 7.12.1 Analysis of Business Revenue 7.12.2 Status in Market Competition 7.12.3 Investments 7.12.4 Prospect of Dumex
8 Packaging Suppliers for Dairy Products in China, 2007 8.1 Tetra Pak 8.1.1 Major Business in China 8.1.2 Cooperation with Dairy Producers, Government and Relative Industrial Association 8.1.3 Prospect of Tetra Pak’s Business in China 8.2 International Paper 8.2.1 Major Business in China 8.2.2 Cooperation with Dairy Producers 8.2.3 Prospect of International Paper’s Business in China
9 Analysis of Dairy Industry Development in China, 2007 9.1 Analysis of Dairy Industry Development Scale 9.2 Analysis of Profit-Generation Ability 9.3 Analysis of Losses Situation 9.3.1 Scale and Amount of Losses in Dairy Industry 9.3.2 Analysis of Loss Status of Dairy Enterprises of Different Scales 9.4 Concentration of Dairy Industry in China 9.4.1 Regional Layout of Dairy Enterprises 9.4.2 Analysis of Major Economic Index of Dairy Enterprises of Different Scales
10 Development of International Dairy Industry, 2007 10.1 Development of International Dairy Industry in 2007 10.1.1 Overview 10.1.1.1 Milk and Dairy Product Production 10.1.1.2 Dairy Product Trade 10.1.1.3 International Dairy Product Price 10.1.2 Major Influential Factors in International Dairy Product Market, 2007 10.2 Analysis of International Dairy Markets of Major Dairy Producing and Trading Countries, 2007 10.2.1 Dairy Market in New Zealand, 2007 10.2.1.1 General Situation 10.2.1.2 Butter Market 10.2.1.3 Cheese Market 10.2.1.4 SMP Market 10.2.1.5 WMP Market 10.2.2 Dairy Market in Australia, 2007 10.2.2.1 General Situation 10.2.2.2 Butter Market 10.2.2.3 Cheese Market 10.2.2.4 SMP Market 10.2.1.5 WMP Market 10.2.3 Dairy Market in the US, 2007 10.2.3.1 General Situation 10.2.3.2 Raw Milk Market 10.2.3.3 Cheese Market 10.2.3.4 Whey Powder Market 10.2.3.5 SMP Market 10.2.3.6 Lactose Market 10.2.3.7 Butter Market 10.2.4 Dairy Market in the EU, 2007 10.2.4.1 General Situation 10.2.4.2 Raw Milk Market 10.2.4.3 Butter Market 10.2.4.4 Cheese Market 10.2.4.5 WMP Market 10.2.4.6 SMP Market 10.2.5 Dairy Market in India, 2007 10.2.5.1 General Situation 10.2.5.2 Consumption Situation 10.2.5.3 Trade Situation 10.2.5.4 Opportunity in Indian Dairy Market
11 Outlook of Dairy Industrial Development of China, 2007 11.1 Prospect of Raw Milk Production 11.2 Prospect of Dairy Product Process 11.3 Prospect of Dairy Product Trade 11.4 Prospect of Prices of Raw Milk and Dairy Products 11.5 Prospect of Dairy Product Consumption 11.6 Prospect of Dairy Industrial Competition
ANNEX: Annex One:Balance Sheet of Milk in China, 2006-2008 Annex Two:Balance Sheet of WMP Milk in China, 2006-2008 Annex Three:Comments on Ten Events of Chinese Dairy Industry in 2007
Table Table 1 Dairy Import and Export in 2007 Table 2 Per Capita Dairy Consumption by Urban Residents, 2007 Table 3 Average Prices of Various Dairy Products, 2005-2007 Table 4 Main Index of China Dairy Industry, 2005-2007 Table 5 Milk Production, Dairy Cattle Inventory and Growths, 1996-2007 Table 6 Trend of Raw Milk Procurement Price in China, 2007 Table 7 Outputs of Dairy Products of Various Places, 2007 Table 8 Sales of Infant Milk Powder, 2007 Table 9 Imports of Dairy Products by Varieties 2006-2007 Table 10 Per Capita Consumption of Urban Resident by Regions, 2005-2007 Table 11 Per Capita Consumption Cost of Urban Residents, 2005-2007 Table 12 Business Revenue of Yili Group, 2007 Table 13 Operation of Liquid Milk and Other Dairy Products in Yili Group, 2007 Table 14 Investment Program of Producing Base in Yili Group, 2007 Table 15 Operation Status of Bright Dairy, 2007 Table 16 Business Revenue and Profit of Mengniu Group, 2007 Table 17 Business Revenue of Sanlu Group, 2007 Table 18 Business Revenue of Sanyuan Food, 2007 Table 19 Business Revenue of Wandashan Group, 2007 Table 20 Business Revenue of Yinqiao Dairy, 2007 Table 21 Business Revenue of New Hope Group, 2007 Table 22 Business Revenue of VV Dairy, 2007 Table 23 Business Revenue of Nestle(China), 2007 Table 24 Business Revenue of Dumex (China), 2007 Table 25 Main Economic Index of Dairy Industry in China, 2001-2007 Table 26 Profit-Generation Ability Index of Dairy Industry in China, 2002-2007 Table 27 Development Ability of Dairy Industry in China, 2000-2007 Table 28Major Economic Index of Dairy Enterprises of Different Scales Table 29 Trend of Cow Inventory of Main Countries, 2001-2007 Table 30 Trend of Milk Yield of Main Countries, 2001-2007 Table 31 Production of Whole Milk Powder of Main Countries in 2007 Table 32 Production of Skimmed Milk Powder of Main Countries in 2007 Table 33 Production of Butter and Ghee of Main Countries in 2007 Table 34 Production of Butter and Ghee of Main Countries in 2007 Table 35 Production of Cheese of Main Countries in 2007 Table 36 Prospect of Production and Consumption of Milk and Dairy Products of Main Countries in 2007 Table 37 Balance Sheet of Liquid Dairy in New Zealand 2006-2008 Table 38 Balance Sheet of Butter in New Zealand 2006-2008 Table 39 Export Flow of Butter of New Zealand 2002-2007 Table 40 Balance Sheet of Cheese in New Zealand 2006-2008 Table 41 Export Flow of Cheese of New Zealand 2002-2007 Table 42 Balance Sheet of Skimmed Milk Powder in New Zealand 2006-2008 Table 43 Export Flow of Skimmed Milk Powder of New Zealand 2002-2007 Table 44 Balance Sheet of Whole Milk Powder in New Zealand 2006-2008 Table 45 Export Flow of Whole Milk Powder in New Zealand 2002-2007 Table 46 Trend of Cow Inventory and Milk Yield in the US, 2005-2007 Table 47 Balance Sheet of Various Kinds of Milk in the EU 2006-2008 Table 48 Balance Sheet of Butter in the EU 2006-2008 Table 49 Balance Sheet of Cheese in the EU 2006-2008 Table 50 Balance Sheet of Whole Milk Powder in the EU 2006-2008 Table 51 Balance Sheet of Skimmed Milk Powder in the EU 2006-2008 Table 52 Dairy Cattle Inventory and Cow Milk Output in America in 2005 Table 53 Balance Sheet of Various Kinds of Milk in the EU 2003-2005 Table 54 Balance Sheet of Cheese in the EU 2003-2005 Table 55 Balance Sheet of Butter in the EU 2003-2005 Table 56 Balance Sheet of Whole Powder in the EU 2003-2005 Table 57 Balance Sheet of Skimmed Powder in the EU 2003-2005 Table 58 Balance Sheet of Various Kinds of Milk in India 2006-2008 Table 59 Balance Sheet of Skimmed Powder in India2006-2008 Table 60 Balance Sheet of Butter in India2006-2008
FIGURE Figure 1 Growth Trend of China Dairy Cattle Inventory, 1999-2007 Figure 2 Growth Trend of China Cow Milk Production, 1999 -2007 Figure 3 Increase Rate of Liquid Dairy Production(by month), 2004-2007 Figure 4 Increase Rate of Dairy Production on Year-on-year Basis(by month), 2004-2007 Figure 5 Outputs of Dairy Products, Liquid Milk and Solid Dairy Products, 2001-2007 Figure 6 Large Dairy Import Slid in 2007 Figure 7 Dairy Export and Growth Ratio of Milk Powder(by month), in 2007 Figure8 Per Capita Milk Consumption of Urban Residents, 2001-2007 Figure 9 Per Capita Dairy Consumption Expenditure of Urban Residents, 2001-2007 Figure 10 Dairy Cattle Inventory in Main Milk Producing Provinces, 2001-2007 Figure 11 Cow Milk Production in Main Milk Producing Provinces, 2001-2007 Figure 12 Production and Growth Rate of Liquid Dairy, 2001-2007 Figure 13 Liquid Dairy Production and Its Proportion to the Total, 1996-2007 Figure 14 Monthly Trend of Liquid Dairy Production, 2004-2007 Figure 15 Liquid Dairy Production of All Regions, 2001-2007 Figure 16 Regional Layout of Liquid Dairy Production, 2007 Figure 17 Liquid Dairy Production of Main Provinces, 2003-2007 Figure 18 Composition of Liquid Dairy, 2000-2007 Figure 19 Production and Growth Rate of Sterilized Dairy, 2000-2007 Figure 20 Production and Growth Rate of Pasteurized Dairy, 2000-2007 Figure 21 Production and Growth Rate of Yoghurt, 2000-2007 Figure 22 Solid Dairy Production and Proportion to Dairy Production, 1996-2007 Figure 23 Monthly Trend of Solid Dairy Production, 2001-2007 Figure 24 Solid Dairy Production of All Regions in China, 2000-2007 Figure 25 Analysis on Regions of Solid Dairy Produciton, 2000-2007 Figure 26 Solid Dairy Production of Main Provinces, 2003-2007 Figure 27 Milk Powder Production and Proportion to Solid Dairy Production, 1996-2007 Figure 28 Milk Powder Production and Proportion to Dairy Production, 1996-2007 Figure 29 Composition of Milk Powder Production, 1999-2007 Figure 30 WMP Production and Growth Rate, 2000-2007 Figure 31 Produciton and Growth Rate of WMP Containing Added Sugar, 2000-2007 Figure 32 Production and Growth Rate of Infant Formula Milk Powder, 2000-2007 Figure 33 SMP Production and Growth Rate, 2000-2007 Figure 34 Structure of Dairy Import Volume, 2001-2007 Figure 35 Structure of Dairy Import Value, 2001-2007 Figure 36 Proportion of Import Dairy of Original Countries, 2004-2007 Figure 37 Destination of Imported Dairy Products(by import value), 2007 Figure 38 Destination of Imported Dairy Products(by import volume), 2007 Figure 39 Trend of Import Volume of SMP (by month), 2003-2007 Figure 40 Trend of Import Value of SMP (by month), 2003-2007 Figure 41 Trend of Import Volume of WMP (by month), 2003-2007 Figure 42 Trend of Import Value of WMP (by month), 2003-2007 Figure 43 Layout of Original Countries of SMP Import, 2007 Figure 44 Destinations of Imported WMP, 2007 Figure 45Trend of Import Volume and Value of Whey Products, 2003-2007 Figure 46 Monthly Trend of Whey Products Import, 2003-2007 Figure 47 Layout of Original Countries of Whey Products Import, 2004-2007 Figure 48 Layout of Imported Whey Products(by import volume), 2004-2007 Figure 49 Import Volume and Value of Butter and Butteroil, 2003-2007 Figure 50 Layout of Original Countries of Butter and Butteroil, 2007 Figure 51 Trend of Import Volume and Value of Cheese, 2003-2007 Figure 52 Layout of Original Countries of Cheese, 2007 Figure 53 Import Volume and Value of Fresh Dairy Products, 2003-2007 Figure 54 Layout of Original Countries of Fresh Dairy Products, 2006-2007 Figure 55 Trend of Import Volume and Value of Yoghurt, 2003-2007 Figure 56 Layout of Original Countries of Yoghurt Import, 2007 Figure 57 Stucture of Dairy Products Imported from New Zealand, 2004-2007 Figure 58 Stucture of Dairy Products Imported from America, 2004-2007 Figure 59 Stucture of Dairy Products Imported from France, 2004-2007 Figure 60 Stucture of Dairy Products Imported from Australia, 2004-2007 Figure 61 Export Structure of Dairy Products(by export volume), 2006-2007 Figure 62 Composition of Dairy Products Export(by export value), 2006-2007 Figure 63 Trend of Per Capita Fresh Dairy Consumption by Urban Residents, 2003-2007 Figure 64 Trend of Per Capita Consumption of Milk Powder and Yoghurt by Urban Residents, 2001-2007 Figure 65 Composition of Dairy Consumption Amount by Urban Residents, 2007 Figure 66 Composition of Dairy Consumption Expenditure by Urban Residents in North China, 2007 Figure 67 Composition of Dairy Consumption Expenditure by Urban Residents in Northeast, 2007 Figure 68 Composition of Dairy Consumption Expenditure by Urban Residents in East China, 2007 Figure 69 Composition of Dairy Consumption Expenditure by Urban Residents in Central & South China, 2007 Figure 70 Composition of Dairy Consumption Expenditure by Urban Residents in Southwest, 2007 Figure 71 Composition of Dairy Consumption Expenditure by Urban Residents in Northwest, 2007 Figure 72 Per Capita Dairy Consumption by Urban Residents of All Regions, 2006-2007 Figure 73 Per Capita Dairy Consumption Expenditure by Urban Residents, 2006-2007 Figure 74 Average Sale Price of Fresh Dairy Products in All Regions, 2001-2007 Figure 75 Average Sale Price of Yoghurt in All Regions, 2005-2007 Figure 76 Trend of Average Sale Price of Milk Powder in All Regions, 2005-2007 Figure 77 Production of Main Milk Powder Producing Enterprises in 2007 Figure 78 Comparison of Market Shares of Small Packaged Milk Powder Brands in 2007 Figure 79 Factory Price of Main Milk Powder Producing Enterprises, 2007 Figuer 80 Composition of Milk Powder Price of Main Producing Enterprises, 2007 Figure 81 Comparison of Terminal Price of Different Milk Powder Brands 2007 Figure 82 Market Shares of Main Liquid Milk Brands, 2006-2007 Figure 83 Trend of Market Shares of Main Yoghurt Brands, 2006-2007 Figure 84 Market Shares of Main Dairy Beverage Brands, 2006-2007 Figure 85 Profit Ratio of Sales Income of Dairy Industry, 2001-2007 Figure 86 Total Assets and Benefits of the Owners of Dairy Industry, 2001-2007 Figure 87 Growth Trend of Total Profit of Dairy Industry, 2002-2007 Figure 88 Ratio of Loss-incurring Enterprises in Dairy Industry, 2002-2007 Figure 89 Gross Loss Carry-forward in Dairy Industry, 2002-2007 Figure 90 Ratio of Loss-incurring Enterprises of Diiferent Sizes, 2007 Figure 91 Proportion of Loss-incurring Enterprises of Different Sizes, 2007 Figure 92 Proportion of Loss Carry-forward of Different Sized Enterprises, 2007 Figure 93 Regional Layout of Dairy Enterprises in 2007 Figure 94 World Whole Milk Powder Prices Trend, 2005-2007 Figure 95 World Nonfat Dry Milk Prices Trend, 2005-2007 Figure 96 World Butter Prices Trend, 2005-2007 Figure 97 World Cheese Prices Trend, 2005-2007 Figure 98 Australian Milk Production Trend, 1997-2007 Figure 99 Australian Butter Production and Exports Trend,1997-2007 Figure 100 Australian Cheese Production and Exports Trend,1997-2007 Figure 101 Australian SMP Production and Exports Trend,1997-2007 Figure 102 Australian WMP Production and Exports Trend,1997-2007 Figure 103 American Total Cheese Production Trend, 2003-2007 Figure 104 American Cheddar Cheese Price Trend, 2006-2007 Figure 105 American Butter Production Trend, 2003-2007 Figure 106 American Butter Monthly Prices Trend, 2006-2007 Figure 107 American SMP Production Trend(by month), 2006-2007 Figure 108 American SMP Monthly Market Prices Trend, 2006-2007 Figure 109 American Whey Product Production Trend, 2003-2007 Figure 110 American Whey Product Monthly Market Prices Trend, 2006-2007 Figure 111 American Lactose Production Trend, 2003-2007
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